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Exit Calculator
What exit does this company need for you to make money?
Investment Details
50%
At Seed, expect 3-5 more rounds before exit
Reality check
Median angel exit: 1.5-2x return (not 10x)
Time to liquidity: 7-10 years typical
Failure rate: ~65% of angel investments return less than invested
These probabilities are rough estimates based on industry data. Individual outcomes vary significantly.
Your Position
Initial Ownership
0.250%
Ownership at Exit
0.125%
After 50% dilution
Exit Scenarios
| Target | You Get | Required Exit | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | $50,000 | $40,000,000 | ~22% |
| 3x | $75,000 | $60,000,000 | ~14% |
| 5x | $125,000 | $100,000,000 | ~10% |
| 10x | $250,000 | $200,000,000 | ~7% |
| 20x | $500,000 | $400,000,000 | ~4% |
Probabilities are rough estimates based on historical venture outcomes by stage.
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